BSP increases interest rates
by Roderick T. dela Cruz
The Bangko Sentral on Thursday raised its policy interest rates by 25 basis points, the first time since July 2009, in a bid to prevent inflation from spiraling out of control amid rising food and energy prices caused by external factors.
The Monetary Board decided to act promptly to rein in inflation expectations. The Monetary Board believes that a preemptive response will minimize the overall impact of rising inflation on domestic activity by helping to firmly anchor the publics inflation expectations, said Bangko Sentral Governor Amando Tetangco Jr.
Bangko Sentral increased the rates to 4.25 percent for overnight borrowing and 6.25 percent for overnight lending.
It also raised the interest rates on term reverse repurchase facility, repurchase facility and special deposit accounts by 25 basis points.
Tetangco said the rate hike would not affect the countrys economic growth prospects. The government has a fighting gross domestic product growth target of 7 to 8 percent and an official target of 5 to 6 percent for budgetary purposes.
Inflation rate climbed to a nine-month high of 4.3 percent in February. Emilio Neri, corporate economist of the Bank of the Philippine Islands, said inflation rate was expected to peak by the third quarter of the year.
The Bangko Sentral noted signs of stronger and broadening inflation pressures as well as a further upward shift in the balance of inflation risks.
Tetangco said international food and oil prices continued to escalate due to the combination of sustained strong global demand and supply disruptions and constraints.
Bangko Sentral Deputy Governor Diwa Guinigundo said if the Monetary Board decided not to raise the policy rates, inflation for the year could exceed the target range of 3 to 5 percent.
Guinigundo said without a rate hike, the banks inflation forecast for 2011 would be raised from 4.4 percent to 5.18 percent.
Once we implement this hike, the 5.18-percent inflation forecast would be restored within the 3- to 5-percent range, he said.
The Bangko Sentral also assumed a crude oil price of $100 to $110 per barrel for 2011, which was revised upward from its previous assumption of $85 to $95 per barrel.
The inflation forecast for 2012 was lowered slightly from 3.47 percent to 3.44 percent as a result of the rate hike, which are within the target range of 3 to 5 percent, he added.
Guinigundo said the Bangko Sentral acted to preempt the second-round effects of rising crude prices. This is a preemptive move in order to keep inflation expectations anchored, he said.
Bangko Sentral said well-anchored inflation expectations would safeguard price stability and preserve the publics purchasing power.
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Tags : Monetary